Wednesday, October 25, 2006

House and Senate Outlook Daily Update

wapo-congressionalcountdown-061025.jpg.jpgNo movement on the WaPo's Congressional Countdown from yesterday, thoug some confirmation of trouble for the GOP in Ohio and Pennsylvania:
The polls confirmed that two incumbent Republican senators -- Ohio’s Mike DeWine and Pennsylvania’s Rick Santorum -- are in deep trouble. DeWine trails Democratic Rep. Sherrod Brown in polls by both news groups. Only Mason-Dixon polled in Pennsylvania, and that showed that Santorum, long considered the most vulnerable incumbent senator in the country, is running behind state Treasurer Bob Casey Jr. in the Mason-Dixon survey. by 51 percent to 39 percent.
[...]
If there was one surprise in the new polls, it came in Montana. There, according to Mason-Dixon, state Sen. Jon Tester (D) held only a 46 percent to 43 percent lead over Republican Sen. Conrad Burns, a smaller margin than in recent polls. Burns has long been considered a long-shot for re-election most of the year, but, the Mason-Dixon survey suggests that writing off Burns might be a mistake.
Again, it's gonna come down to the wire and it's gonna take a massive get-out-the-vote (GOTV) effort by Democrats nation-wide.

[PS] It doesn't look like the race to replace Mean Jean Schmidt is on the WaPo's list of 35 races, but political novice Victoria Wulsin is making a race of it in a heavily republican district. Remember, this was where Paul Hackett gave Schmidt a run for the money, and Schmidt hasn't acquitted herself quite so well since entering Congress, as this new Wulsin ad reminds us.


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