Saturday, August 13, 2005

Ooooooops
It's Getting Hot in Herre

Looks like some of those skeptical reports on climate change/global warming that the Right loves to point to when making its case to let ExxonMobil be ExxonMobil used bad data; from the NYTimes:

 
Some scientists who question whether human-caused global warming poses a threat have long pointed to records that showed the atmosphere's lowest layer, the troposphere, had not warmed over the last two decades and had cooled in the tropics.

Now two independent studies have found errors in the complicated calculations used to generate the old temperature records, which involved stitching together data from thousands of weather balloons lofted around the world and a series of short-lived weather satellites.

A third study shows that when the errors are taken into account, the troposphere actually got warmer. Moreover, that warming trend largely agrees with the warmer surface temperatures that have been recorded and conforms to predictions in recent computer models.

The three papers were published yesterday in the online edition of the journal Science.
[...]
The findings will be featured in a report on temperature trends in the lower atmosphere that is the first product to emerge from the Bush administration's 10-year program intended to resolve uncertainties in climate science.

Several scientists involved in the new studies said that the government climate program, by forcing everyone involved to meet five times, had helped generate the new findings.
 


The critics are eating some humble pie, but only a small piece to start with:

 
"Our view hasn't changed," Dr. Christy said. "We still have this modest warming."
 


Tell that to the Brits:

 
Britain can expect heatwaves similar to the one which killed up to 40,000 people across Europe in August 2003 every other year, say scientists.

The 10-day European heatwave, which saw the highest temperatures the continent has experienced since 1500, killed 2,093 people in Britain even though it was less affected than other parts of Europe. Research by Peter Stott of the Hadley centre for climate prediction, and Nikolaos Christidis of Oxford University, suggests there is a mounting risk of similar extreme events within decades.
[...]
Mr Stott's research suggests that very hot summer days are likely to become more extreme in the UK, with peak temperatures rising from about 35C to 42C (95 to 108F) by the middle of the century. It also shows there has been a mean average increase of about 1C for the warmest nights between 1950 and 2000. The bonus is that deaths from the cold are now practically unknown. "In the 1980s it was common to have 150,000 cold-related deaths in a winter. Now the deaths are down to about 20,000 a year."
 


Bonus!


0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home